From:
RussiaToday
|
Sep 26, 2011
Monday, September 26, 2011
Draconian IMF cuts call under fire
Quant trading: How mathematicians rule the markets
From BBC News:
Trading floors were once the preserve of adrenalin-fuelled dealers aggressively executing the orders of brokers who relied on research, experience and gut instinct to decide where best to invest.
Long ago computers made dealers redundant, yet brokers and their ilk have remained the masters of the investment universe, free to buy and sell wherever they see fit.
But the last bastion of the old order is now under threat.
Investment decisions are no longer being made by financiers, but increasingly by PhD mathematicians and the immensely complex computer programs they devise.
Fundamental research and intuition are being usurped by algorithmic formulae. Quant trading is taking over the world's financial capitals.
New paradigm
Mathematicians have long played a vital role in risk management at financial institutions, but their skill set is increasingly being used to make money, not just to stop losing it.
Ian Ellis, director at Ride Arcade Limited, explains how electronic trading works
Firms are now employing gifted academic statisticians to track patterns or trends in trading behaviour and create formulae to predict future market movements. These formulae are then fed into powerful computers that buy and sell automatically according to triggers generated by the algorithms.
These so-called quantitative trading programs underpin all quickfire trades - known as high-frequency trading (HFT) - in which stocks can be held for just a matter of seconds........read on
Trading floors were once the preserve of adrenalin-fuelled dealers aggressively executing the orders of brokers who relied on research, experience and gut instinct to decide where best to invest.
Long ago computers made dealers redundant, yet brokers and their ilk have remained the masters of the investment universe, free to buy and sell wherever they see fit.
But the last bastion of the old order is now under threat.
Investment decisions are no longer being made by financiers, but increasingly by PhD mathematicians and the immensely complex computer programs they devise.
Fundamental research and intuition are being usurped by algorithmic formulae. Quant trading is taking over the world's financial capitals.
New paradigm
Mathematicians have long played a vital role in risk management at financial institutions, but their skill set is increasingly being used to make money, not just to stop losing it.
Ian Ellis, director at Ride Arcade Limited, explains how electronic trading works
Firms are now employing gifted academic statisticians to track patterns or trends in trading behaviour and create formulae to predict future market movements. These formulae are then fed into powerful computers that buy and sell automatically according to triggers generated by the algorithms.
These so-called quantitative trading programs underpin all quickfire trades - known as high-frequency trading (HFT) - in which stocks can be held for just a matter of seconds........read on
EU given six weeks to protect itself against 'inevitable Greek default'
European Union governments will spend the next six weeks building a financial firewall to protect their fragile banking systems against what is now seen as an inevitable Greek default.
G20 sources said that up to 50% was likely to be wiped from the face value of Greece's €350bn debt – but not until Europe had put into place a war chest to prevent the contagion spreading.
More money will be disbursed by the International Monetary Fund and the EU next month to keep the Greek government afloat, but this is seen as a short-term fix while Europe's leaders beef up the eurozone bailout fund, the European Financial Stability Facility.
Europe came under ferocious pressure at this weekend's IMF meeting in Washington to contain the spiralling crisis, which is blamed for dragging the global economy to the brink of a double-dip recession. The IMF is reportedly willing to continue bailing out Greece in the short-term, provided that Europe uses the time to tackle the issue of debt once and for all. The Washington-based lender believes the 18-month delay since Greece was first bailed out last spring has exacerbated the crisis.
Tim Geithner, the US treasury secretary, said: "The threat of cascading default, bank runs and catastrophic risk must be taken off the table, otherwise it will undermine all other efforts, both within Europe and globally.
"Decisions as to how to conclusively address the region's problems cannot wait until the crisis gets more severe."......read on
Can Chinese buying halt the slide?
It this the China Put finally kicking in? Only time will tell. Although in silver the US$26 level was an extremely sweet price compared the $40+ levels of only last week. That $26 level was approx. a 40% decline from the $43 level hit at the start of September. It was so sweet that it briefly knocked the price of my favourite silver bar, the 1kg PAMP, to below AUD$1,000 (damn it I should be buying not blogging!).
Now lets see how the 'players' in London and New York react to this counter move, will they roll over and play dead or hit it with their spandex gold and silver shorts :-)
Keiser Report: Cultural Fragging
From RussiaToday on Sep 25, 2011
This week Max Keiser and co-host, Stacy Herbert, discuss cultural fragging and financial flashbacks. They also discuss Papandreou's high frequency austerity measures for Greece. In the second half of the show Max talks to Ned Naylor-Leyland of Cheviot Asset Management about the latest developments in the silver manipulation case against JP Morgan.
This week Max Keiser and co-host, Stacy Herbert, discuss cultural fragging and financial flashbacks. They also discuss Papandreou's high frequency austerity measures for Greece. In the second half of the show Max talks to Ned Naylor-Leyland of Cheviot Asset Management about the latest developments in the silver manipulation case against JP Morgan.
WTF? - 'Gold is backed by nothing unlike the US Dollar'
This video is pure gold.
I wet myself laughing when I heard the air-head say the following:
"Some investors aren't confident with what gold is backed by- or if its backed by anything at all, as compared to something like the US dollar. Investors are comfortable that the US dollar is backed by the American government, so that no matter what is happening to the US economy, something like the US dollar is backed by the Federal Reserve, that's going to be around a year from now. That's a much more comfortable investment for them."
How about the fact that Gold is backed by:
I think the Todd Hirsch mentioned is this guy
Whilst very funny and sad, it is typical of mainstream media. The first time I was interviewed on national Australian TV the only vaguely intelligent question I received was from the weather girl.
I wet myself laughing when I heard the air-head say the following:
"Some investors aren't confident with what gold is backed by- or if its backed by anything at all, as compared to something like the US dollar. Investors are comfortable that the US dollar is backed by the American government, so that no matter what is happening to the US economy, something like the US dollar is backed by the Federal Reserve, that's going to be around a year from now. That's a much more comfortable investment for them."
How about the fact that Gold is backed by:
- The Earth and its finite supply of Gold
- The three major monotheistic religion's holy book stating that Gold is Money
- 5,000 years of the free market choosing Gold over ALL other forms of money (except silver).
- Infinite supply from the Fed and its member banks
- Being outlawed as Money in the US constitution
- Having lost 96% of its value since the Fed has been "backing" it - source
I think the Todd Hirsch mentioned is this guy
Whilst very funny and sad, it is typical of mainstream media. The first time I was interviewed on national Australian TV the only vaguely intelligent question I received was from the weather girl.
Eurozone leaders bring monetary union to the brink
From the UK Telegraph:
By Ed Conway
There’s a thin line between tragedy and comedy, and this weekend the finance ministers of the euro area blundered over it. They gathered in Washington in the shadow of the darkest economic clouds since the collapse of Lehman Brothers, with the world’s eyes upon them.
Even as they met, stock markets around the world suffered their worst day since those dark months of recession. The MSCI World stock market index dropped into technical bear market territory. European sovereign debt teetered on the brink of insolvency and its banking system threatened to topple.
G20 sources finally conceded that it is now a question of when, not if, Greece will default. And in the face of this hideous storm what did they come up with? A deadline. In fact, that’s not quite it: they set themselves a deadline to come up with a timetable. You couldn’t make it up. Euro leaders have been given six weeks to devise a legal framework to implement measures which, if they are lucky, may have a fighting chance of saving the euro.
Of course, if ever there were a bunch of people you could count on to miss a deadline like this, it is the eurozone’s ministers. It is their prevarication throughout the recent crisis – whether over addressing their public finances, recapitalising their banks or addressing the rot at the heart of the single currency – which has left us where we are today........read on
By Ed Conway
There’s a thin line between tragedy and comedy, and this weekend the finance ministers of the euro area blundered over it. They gathered in Washington in the shadow of the darkest economic clouds since the collapse of Lehman Brothers, with the world’s eyes upon them.
Even as they met, stock markets around the world suffered their worst day since those dark months of recession. The MSCI World stock market index dropped into technical bear market territory. European sovereign debt teetered on the brink of insolvency and its banking system threatened to topple.
G20 sources finally conceded that it is now a question of when, not if, Greece will default. And in the face of this hideous storm what did they come up with? A deadline. In fact, that’s not quite it: they set themselves a deadline to come up with a timetable. You couldn’t make it up. Euro leaders have been given six weeks to devise a legal framework to implement measures which, if they are lucky, may have a fighting chance of saving the euro.
Of course, if ever there were a bunch of people you could count on to miss a deadline like this, it is the eurozone’s ministers. It is their prevarication throughout the recent crisis – whether over addressing their public finances, recapitalising their banks or addressing the rot at the heart of the single currency – which has left us where we are today........read on
Truth About Markets
Gerald Celente - 'I am in the Gold market for long term security'
Gerald Celente discusses gold, silver and the fascist state with Eric King of King World News......listen here
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